Vernaio BLOG
Robert Meißner

Why Operational Excellence Needs a Real-Time CoPilot

Key Takeaways
  • Operational Excellence (OpEx) frameworks like Lean, Six Sigma, and TPM are vital—but they weren’t designed for today’s high-speed, data-rich production environments requiring real-time decisions.
  • PBX (Process Booster X) acts as a real-time OpEx CoPilot that turns historical and live process data into transparent, actionable recommendations.
  • Instead of relying on black-box AI, PBX uses Causal AI to simulate real-world cause-and-effect—grounded in data from setpoints, sensor behavior, lab results, and external factors.
  • SMEs define KPIs and control limits, while PBX autonomously learns how to safely optimize production within these boundaries.
  • PBX evolves your OpEx playbook: It uncovers hidden influences, accelerates learning, and turns real-time decisions into long-term advantage.

Operational Excellence in the Age of Real-Time Decisions

Operational Excellence frameworks, such as Lean, Six Sigma, TPM, and Kaizen have long provided manufacturers with a solid foundation for improvement. Through structured projects and disciplined methodologies, they’ve helped reduce waste, increase output, and raise quality standards.

But manufacturing environments have changed.

Production lines have grown in complexity, variability, and speed. Consider a line with 1,600 measured parameters, 60+ controllable signals, and seven critical quality KPIs—all influenced by dozens of interdependent factors. The team is expected to meet multiple, often conflicting goals: minimizing energy use, stabilizing quality, reducing CO₂ emissions, and maximizing throughput—under increasingly dynamic conditions.

This level of operational complexity is now common in process industries like papermaking, nonwovens, gelatin, steelmaking, electrode manufacturing and many more. And in these environments, timely and precise decisions are not optional—they’re essential.

While frameworks like PDCA or DMAIC remain valuable, they face structural limitations under these conditions:

  • Manual hypothesis building: Only the factors you think to test get analyzed.
  • Narrow project scope: Most initiatives focus on a single CTQ.
  • Slow turnaround: Analysis happens offline; actions come too late.
  • Limited sustainability: Gains often fade once the project wraps up.

These methods don’t fail because they’re wrong—they simply weren’t built for the pace, dimensionality, and real-time decision needs of modern operations.

The result? Even experienced teams are left navigating countless micro-decisions without systematic, data-driven support. That leads to excess energy use, quality drift and scrap, and untapped throughput—often reflected in OEE levels far below what the line could truly achieve.

From Root Cause Projects to Real-Time Process Intelligence

This is where PBX (Process Booster X) delivers substantial relief. It acts as a real-time Operational Excellence CoPilot - an intelligent system that understands how your process actually behaves and continuously recommends the next-best action to operators, in real time.

Importantly, PBX is not a one-time fix—it’s continuous operational intelligence.

While traditional improvement programs are essential for building robust processes, they’re fundamentally project-based and episodic. Once the SOPs are in place, PBX picks up where they leave off—guiding operations minute by minute through variability, trade-offs, and dynamic plant conditions.

Here’s how it works:

At the start of the project, subject matter experts (SMEs) define the KPIs and specify which setpoints PBX is allowed to adjust—along with their permissible ranges.

PBX then constructs a causal model from historical process data - no manual feature engineering required - by learning from four essential data types:

  1. Process data (covariates): Sensor readings and internal measurements that describe the system’s behavior.
  2. Interventional data (setpoints): The setpoints historically adjusted by operators or controllers. These are critical, as they reveal how the system responded to changes—this is where causal inference begins.
  3. Quality data: Output metrics (often from lab analysis) that capture success criteria—such as yield, purity, compliance, or performance.
  4. Exogenous variables: External but influential factors like ambient conditions, raw material variability, or utility supply—helping PBX distinguish true drivers from confounders.

Just as an engineer learns how a system behaves by tweaking inputs and observing results, PBX learns from historical interventions to model the true cause-and-effect structure of the line.

This causal model is not just a map—it acts as a simulation engine. Once deployed, PBX uses live data to simulate how changes will impact KPIs and then recommends safe, effective setpoint adjustments in real time—always within guardrails defined by the SME.

In addition, PBX supports the definition of explicit utility functions to guide its decision-making—optimizing for goals such as energy efficiency, cost reduction, CO₂ footprint, or other operational priorities specified by the team. This ensures that its real-time recommendations are not only causally sound, but also aligned with concrete business objectives.

How PBX Fits in Your OpEx Workflow

PBX doesn’t replace your existing methods—it extends and operationalizes them in real time.

Here’s how it integrates with your workflow:

  • You define the key KPIs and specify which setpoints PBX is allowed to adjust.
  • PBX learns the causal relationships between inputs and outcomes.
  • You validate the model together with the PBX team, reviewing its behavior and transparency.
  • PBX recommends real-time, safe interventions - always within the guardrails you’ve set.
  • PBX evolves with your process: its model is retrained periodically to reflect new data, shifts in process behavior, or changing business goals.

You still lead improvement projects. You still define CTQs. But instead of waiting for audits or control charts to detect drift, PBX flags issues early—and proposes targeted, data-backed actions for operators to take immediately.

When to Use PBX — and When Not To

If your production is dynamic, complex, and data-rich - and operators are constantly chasing a moving target - PBX acts as a real-time copilot to help stabilize and optimize performance. It brings the most value when traditional methods can no longer keep pace with variability and multidimensional trade-offs.

PBX is most effective when:

✅ You monitor hundreds or thousands of parameters
✅ You need to balance multiple, often conflicting KPIs (e.g., quality, energy, CO₂)
✅ Your team is stretched thin and can’t watch everything
✅ Process improvements tend to fade after project completion
✅ Real-time guidance could prevent costly deviations

PBX is not the right fit if:

❌ Your process is already stable and running at optimal performance
❌ You lack reliable sensor data or basic data infrastructure
❌ There are no viable interventions or control levers
❌ CTQs are not defined or business priorities are unclear

What PBX Enables Day-to-Day

In practice, PBX looks like in this real-world example:

Screenshot from Process Booster X (PBX): One quality parameter deviates from its designated range, so PBX recommends taking specific action to address this.
  • A drift in the maximum tensile force in machine direction is detected.
  • PBX identifies the most likely drivers and quantifies their impact.
  • It recommends specific setpoint changes:
    • Increase Drum Dryer TC06RM from 205 to 207
    • Increase Collecting Belt Drive Speed from 39.9 to 41.3
    • Adjust additional drying parameters within defined limits
  • The operator reviews the recommendations and applies the changes.
Screenshot from Process Booster X (PBX): One quality parameter deviates from its designated range, so PBX recommends taking specific action to address this.

One minute after implementation, the drifting KPI is back under control - without disturbing the stability of the other quality indicators.

From Real-Time Process Intelligence to Deeper Process Insight

PBX doesn’t just help you run better—it helps you learn smarter.

Because PBX continuously makes causally grounded decisions, its behavior over time becomes a new lens for Continuous Improvement teams. By observing how PBX responds to different situations, you can induce hidden influences that aren't directly captured in your data.

Example: PBX frequently ramps up ventilation during summer. While ambient temperature isn’t explicitly measured, this recurring action hints at a missing driver—a thermal constraint. Instead of continuing to compensate, CI can now address the root issue (e.g., upgrade cooling or add temperature sensors).

This is where PBX goes beyond just automation:

  • It reveals confounding factors—hidden influences masked in noisy or incomplete datasets.
  • It uncovers indirect effects that suggest where sensors, controls, or process design can evolve.
  • It turns daily operations into a discovery loop—fueling CI with insights from real-time behavior.

By tracing PBX’s decisions, CI teams gain a new kind of process intelligence: A continuous stream of clues that point to what truly drives your performance—even when it’s not in your data yet.

Summary Table

PBX Does… PBX Doesn’t…
✅ Quantify cause and effect ❌ Act without SME-defined objectives
✅ Simulate interventions in real time ❌ Replace project work or CI teams
✅ Balance trade-offs across KPIs ❌ Learn new physics without retraining
✅ Provide transparent suggestions ❌ Exceed guardrails or constraints
✅ Adapt to changing conditions ❌ Work well without high-quality data

Curious what PBX could do for your process?

Book a free demo / discovery call. In 60 minutes, we’ll explore your biggest challenges—and show how PBX can help you unlock hidden drivers, balance competing KPIs, and sustain CI in real time.

👉 Book your demo

#OperationalExcellence #ContinuousImprovement #SixSigma #CausalAI #SmartFactory #PBX #ProcessOptimization

Join Our Newsletter

Stay updated with the latest blog posts and don't miss out on our exciting updates!

Thank you!
You have been added to our newsletter. Please check your mail.
Oops! Something went wrong while submitting the form. If this problem persists, please contact hello@vernaio.com